On the daily chart below for the
Russell 2000, we can see that after bouncing from the 1731 swing support, the
price kept finding a strong resistance at 1800 and the 50% Fibonacci
retracement level. The market got stuck in this range, but the
recent higher lows might be a sign that the buyers are trying hard to achieve a
breakout.
Recent economic data hasn’t been
good with retail
sales missing forecasts across the board last Friday. Moreover, Fed’s
Waller and the big jump in 1
year inflation expectations in the University of Michigan survey, suggest that
the Fed may keep conditions tight longer than the market expects.
Fundamentally, there’s very little support for the index.
Russell 2000 Technical Analysis
On the 4
hour chart below, we can see more closely the strong resistance area around the
1800 level. The trendline also shows the series of higher
lows that the market has been making lately, which may be a sign that the
buyers are trying hard to push through that 1800 resistance and they’re not
backing down. This has also created an ascending
triangle formation, so the break on either side may lead to a bigger move
afterwards.
On the 1 hour chart, we can see a
little range created around the 1800 level. The resistance is at 1820 and the
support at 1780. The best thing to do would be to just wait for the breakout on
either side and going with the flow. Important US economic data will be released only towards
the end of the week, so in the meantime the technicals will guide.
This article was written by ForexLive at www.forexlive.com.
http://dlvr.it/SmcCny
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