Delayed monsoon can impact inflation; expect FY24 CPI at 5.2 per cent: Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank has warned that India cannot be complacent about inflation even though official data for May has shown a cool-off. The bank expects the average Consumer Price Inflation (CPI) for FY24 to reach 5.2%, compared with the 5.1% estimated by the Reserve Bank of India and the consensus of 5% for analysts. With monsoon rains currently 53% below normal and poor monsoon potentially driving up food prices in July, there is a chance headline inflation could rise above 5%, the bank said.