Based on the chart shown in the image, here’s a detailed analysis of the strategy and possible Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) levels:
1. Market Overview
• Pair: USDJPY (H1 timeframe)
• Trend Summary: Strong Downtrend (as indicated in the trend summary)
• Indicators Used:
• Multiple Moving Averages (MA)
• Trend Lines (Support & Resistance)
• Fuzzy Logic Analysis
• Pending Orders Visible
• Trend Screener (showing Downtrend across multiple timeframes)
• Current Market Price: Around 149.245
• Key Observations:
• The price is below key moving averages (suggesting a bearish momentum).
• The red moving average appears to be acting as a dynamic resistance.
• Price is nearing a support level, marked by green horizontal lines.
2. Possible Entry & Exit Points
Sell Entry Setup (Trend Following)
• Given the strong downtrend, the best strategy is trend continuation by selling on retracements.
• Ideal sell entry: Around 149.600 – 149.700 (if price retests resistance).
• Confirmation: If price fails to break above the red moving average.
✅ Target Take Profit (TP) Levels:
• TP1: 149.100 (nearest support level)
• TP2: 148.900 (next strong support zone)
• TP3: 148.500 (major swing low area)
🛑 Stop Loss (SL) Levels:
• SL: 150.050 (above major resistance and MA)
• If using a tighter SL, consider 149.800.
Buy Entry Setup (Countertrend Reversal)
• If price finds support near 148.900, a short-term reversal could occur.
• Buy entry should only be considered if strong rejection occurs.
✅ Target Take Profit (TP) Levels:
• TP1: 149.500 (mid-range)
• TP2: 149.900 (retest of the moving average resistance)
🛑 Stop Loss (SL) Levels:
• SL: 148.750 (if price breaks below major support)
3. Final Strategy Recommendation
• Primary Bias: Sell on pullbacks towards resistance.
• Secondary Bias: Buy only if support holds strongly with reversal patterns.
• Risk Management: Always maintain a minimum 1:2 risk-reward ratio.
This strategy should work best if you follow the trend confirmation while monitoring key support & resistance zones. Let me know if you need further refinements!
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