Tuesday 30 November 2021

FX option expiries for 1 December 10am New York cut

A look at what is on the board for today Nothing really significant on the board on the day, though there are some big ones for EUR/USD at 1.1400 and EUR/GBP at 0.8400. That said, they are some distance away from current spot price so they may not factor into play in the session ahead.
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Risk keeps in a positive spot ahead of European trading

Omicron fears cast aside for the time being The big shift in the market mood came from Powell's remarks yesterday, as he brushed aside risks of the new COVID-19 variant and kept the focus on monetary policy.
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Trade ideas thread - European session 1 December 2021

Daily thread to exchange ideas and to share your thoughts Fed chair Powell's remarks yesterday were arguably the most important development so far this week as he pushed to retire the 'transitory' inflation narrative and advocated a quicker timing for tapering, paving the way for quicker rate hikes potentially.
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BOJ's Adachi: Will ease policy further only if virus infections spike, prompting yen rise and equities fall

Remarks by BOJ policymaker, Seiji Adachi
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MANYTHINGS YOU DONT KNOW ABOUT WEEKLY TF

I have tried a lot trying to figure out how this work.I mean
how to watch the weekly chart. I came out with the opinion
Of its slow and non moving nature.

This nature makes it really disgusting to watch as i don’t
have the patience of watching a non moving chart. I concluded its not moving and there is no point watching it.

I later discover that,despite its stagnant nature,it really shows the overall trend of the market which makes it the most accurate chart to base your analysis upon if you want to win big and risk small.

You may ask me how,but i will tell you that the secret is if it has same direction with all lower timeframes. Then you can risk low lot for bigger gains.

Another secret is that the weekly will always breakout to the direction of its trend and its stagnant nature makes you do proper analysis while greed and emotion is out of your game.

Most of you don’t have any tool that can show you all timeframe at a glance and this is why you make wrong judgement.

Remember that the weekly breakout is a trend direction trading and if you know its direction befor the breakout and you risk small lot,you will be glad to win so big. It’s like a risk reward ratio risk 1 to gain 10.

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France November preliminary HICP +3.4% vs +3.2% y/y prior

Latest data released by INSEE - 30 November 2021
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NEW SIGNAL FOREX NOV 30 2021

 GBPNZD SELL 1.9585

TP 1.9545

TP 1.9485

SL 1.9645


GBPUSD BUY 1.3330

TP 1.3370

TP 1 3430

SL 1.3270


AUDCHF BUY 0.6650

TP 0.6690

TP 0.6750

SL 0.6590


EURAUD SELL 1.5925

TP 1.5885

TP 1.5825

SL 1.5985


SELL USDJPY

TP. 112.890

Tp. 111.890

Tp. 110.890



NEW FOREX SIGNAL NOV 30 2021

 GOLD BUY 1785


Take profits 1 1790


Take profits 2 1795


Stoploss1875

Monday 29 November 2021

US futures extend fall ahead of European trading

S&P 500 futures down 1.0%, Dow futures down 1.4% Risk trades are just continuing to come under pressure, with AUD/USD making fresh lows for the year as price is clipping just below 0.7100 and USD/JPY knocking on the door of 113.00 currently as bond yields are also creeping lower.
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ECB's de Guindos: Confident that bond buying will continue throughout 2022

Remarks by ECB vice president, Luis de Guindos His remarks is consistent with the messaging that the ECB does not see any rate increases on the horizon for next year. While PEPP is set to end in March, expect the ECB to "transfer" the flexibility via increasing APP purchases thereafter.
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Oil down by nearly 2% as omicron variant fears continue to reverberate

WTI down to $68.50 levels on the day Of note, the drop back below $70 and the 200-day moving average (blue line) near the figure level keeps sellers in control, with yesterday's light rebound proving to be a - more so now after the Moderna CEO headlines hit.
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Aussie and kiwi face key technical test as risk trades come under pressure

A key moment for both AUD/USD and NZD/USD on the charts As the market mood sours on the day and we see another flight to safety, the aussie and kiwi are both down 0.5% against the dollar currently.
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how to win forex trading in olymp trade

  One question many new (and sometimes even experienced) traders ask is whether it is a good idea to wait out a bad trade and let it finally return to profit rather than just let it close by a stop-loss?


This question is totally normal and all traders probably wondered about this. However, the answer to it is almost always no. There are two problems with waiting out bad FX trades:


It is likely that the exchange rate will never recover to level for your trade to become profitable. Not in a year, not even in 10 years. You could have bought USD/CHF at its high in October 2000, and you would still hold a massive loser of a trade 21 years later.

You are missing potentially profitable opportunities to trade by keeping your margin locked — both to keep the trade active and to cover its floating loss. Besides, you would also be paying rollover fees every day to keep the position open.

By not using a stop-loss, you do not realize your floating losses, improving your overall on-balance profitability. While in many cases, it will work well — you will successfully wait out negative periods to close trades with some profit, eventually, it will lead to "eternal" losing positions, which will be a huge drag on your account growth.



Although, generally, it is a bad idea to wait out your losers, it is also necessary to mention that such technique can be a good choice in some specific cases:


Non-leveraged stock or stock market index purchases. If you believe that the fundamentals are good for the stock's growth, there is no point in selling it. Such rationale rarely applies to Forex.

Carry trades with large positive overnight swaps that can potentially outperform any exchange rate loss. In our age of near-zero interest rates, it doesn't look like a real possibility, but it is still a clear exception to the rule of 'no waiting out of bad trades.'


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trendline trading strategy advanced usd jpy nov 29 2021

Dead cat bounce for oil?

Oil up 5% on the day after the 13% plunge on Friday Oil prices are back up in trading today as the risk trades are bouncing back after having been beaten up quite badly at the end of last week.
http://dlvr.it/SDNpFV

Sunday 28 November 2021

Russia says OPEC+ partners did not call to review the current deal

Remarks by Russian energy minister, Alexander Novak He is keeping calm after the 13% plunge in prices on Friday and given the potential threat of the Omnicron variant, we might see OPEC+ suspend any planned output increases for January at its meeting later this week.
http://dlvr.it/SDNPMF

Economic data coming up in the European session

German inflation data in focus today Risk is rebounding on the day after fears surrounding the Omnicron virus strain battered markets on Friday amid thinner liquidity conditions.
http://dlvr.it/SDNPM9

North Rhine Westphalia November CPI +5.1% vs +4.5% y/y prior

Latest data released by Destatis - 29 November 2021
http://dlvr.it/SDNPM7

Heads up: Germany states' CPI readings due later today

German states will be releasing their CPI prints for November today As per the usual, the state readings will outline whether or not the figures will come close to meeting said estimates but either way, inflation pressures are going to keep on the higher side in the euro area through to year-end it seems.
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Forex signal and analysis nov 29 2021

 VOLATILITY 75 INDEX BUY

 BUY 545367.90

TP1. 553532.10

TP2. 563456.60

TP3. 575421.30

TP4. 598764.10

TP5. 634525.80

SL.    526996.10


GBPCHF BUY  1.23300


Take profit  1   1.23800


Take profit  2   1.24300


💢💢Stoploss 1.22700


EURGBP SELL 0.84600


Take profits 1  0.83000


Take profits 2  0.84000


💢💢Stoploss 0.85000


EURJPY SELL 128.300


Take profits 1 128.000


Take profits 2 127.700


💢💢Stoploss128.700


GBPCAD BUY  1.69800


Take profits 1  1.70200


Take profits 2  1.70600


💢💢Stop loss1.69300


GBPUSD BUY  1.33300


Take profits 1  1.33700


Take profits 2  1.34100


💢💢Stop loss1.32800


GBPAUD  BUY 1.86633


Take profits 1  1.87100


Take profits 2  1.87500


💢💢Stoploss 1.86300


GBPNZD BUY  1.95200


Take profits 1  1.95600


Take profits 2  1.96000


💢💢Stoploss 1.94700





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Kashkari Says Fed Could 'Potentially' Hold Rates Steady All Year | Forex Factory

The Federal Reserve needs to achieve more confidence that inflation is declining before cutting interest rates and could possibly delay such...